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2024-12-13 23:53:21

Reuters survey: In December, the Bank of England decided to keep interest rates unchanged or cut interest rates by 100 basis points next year. All 71 economists surveyed during December 6-11 predicted that the Bank of England would keep its target interest rate unchanged at 4.75% at its meeting on December 19. Among the economists who predict the interest rate outlook until the end of 2025, about 54% (36 out of 67) expect to cut interest rates by 100 basis points by the end of next year, another 17 expect to cut interest rates by at least 125 basis points, and 14 expect to cut interest rates by at most 75 basis points.Adobe's US stocks fell about 9% before the market, and the company's annual performance guidance was worse than expected.Zelensky's office stated that it was ready to negotiate with Russia. Mikhail Podolyak, adviser to the director of Ukrainian President Zelensky's office, said in an interview with Channel 24 that Kiev was ready to negotiate with Russia. He pointed out that simple solutions should not be expected, and Ukraine needs just peace conditions. Earlier, Kremlin spokesman dmitry Peskov said that Russia was willing to negotiate with Ukraine provided that the conditions proposed by Russian President Vladimir Putin were met. The conditions mentioned include the complete withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from new Russian regions and Ukraine's neutrality.


The national carbon market closed down 1.29% to 99.90 yuan/ton today. The comprehensive price of the national carbon market today is: the opening price is 101.15 yuan/ton, the highest price is 101.29 yuan/ton, the lowest price is 99.88 yuan/ton, and the closing price is 99.90 yuan/ton, which is 1.29% lower than the previous day. Today, the transaction volume of the listing agreement is 664,139 tons, with a turnover of 66,059,732.39 yuan; The volume of bulk agreement transactions was 8,504,320 tons, with a turnover of 841,280,251.88 yuan.Alleged of tax evasion, Adidas' German headquarters was raided for two days in a row. On December 11th, local time, criminal prosecutors and customs investigators raided Adidas' German headquarters for the second day in a row, which was an escalation of years of investigation on the sports brand's alleged tax evasion. The amount of tax evasion may exceed 1.1 billion euros. The European Prosecutor's Office (EPPO), headquartered in Luxembourg, said on the 11th that it was conducting a "criminal investigation" against a German sportswear trading enterprise group on the grounds that it was "suspected of tax evasion related to customs duties and import and sales taxes". Adidas said that this long-term investigation is unlikely to have "any significant financial impact".If Trump wants to curb inflation, the first thing to do is to build more houses. If Trump wants to push down inflation in the United States to a more tolerable level, he needs housing costs to help him. In this regard, the influence of the Federal Reserve is limited. It is unclear whether inflation will return to the Fed's 2% target in a sustained and convincing manner, at least not until housing inflation is further eased. In October, the national average rent in the United States was $209 per month, slightly lower than that in September, but still higher than the same period last year by 3.3%. Lisa Studt Vanter, chief economist of Bright MLS, said, "It is expected that with the passage of time, we will start to see the year-on-year rent growth slow down, but it just feels like it will take a long time. Some measures proposed by Trump will lead to rising inflation. Compared with six months ago, the prospect of continuing to move towards 2% is less certain. Aiming at the housing supply problem is something that the federal government can do meaningfully. Of course, this is not something that can be done in the short term. "


The national carbon market closed down 1.29% to 99.90 yuan/ton today. The comprehensive price of the national carbon market today is: the opening price is 101.15 yuan/ton, the highest price is 101.29 yuan/ton, the lowest price is 99.88 yuan/ton, and the closing price is 99.90 yuan/ton, which is 1.29% lower than the previous day. Today, the transaction volume of the listing agreement is 664,139 tons, with a turnover of 66,059,732.39 yuan; The volume of bulk agreement transactions was 8,504,320 tons, with a turnover of 841,280,251.88 yuan.IEA Monthly Report: The daily output of the refinery will reach the annual peak of 84.3 million barrels in December. It is estimated that in 2024, the daily output of the refinery will increase by 520,000 barrels to an average of 82.7 million barrels per day. It is estimated that in 2025, the daily output of refineries will increase by 620,000 barrels to an average of 83.3 million barrels per day.Reuters survey: Most economists expect Britain to basically avoid the impact of Trump tariffs. According to the Reuters survey, most economists expect that US President-elect Trump will impose tariffs of less than 10% or not at all on goods imported from Britain next year, which will have little impact on the British economy. This is in stark contrast to a similar poll last month. Last month's polls showed that people were generally worried that the EU would be hit harder. Britain officially withdrew from the EU in 2020. Part of the reason why economists are more optimistic about Britain is that although one-fifth of Britain's total trade is with the United States, the proposed tariffs will focus on goods, and only one-third of Britain's exports are goods.

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